On Friday, Daily Faceoff&#8217;s Frank Seravalli reported that the <a href="https://canucksarmy.com/combinations">Vancouver Canucks</a> offered <a href="https://canucksarmy.com/news/seravalli-vancouver-canucks-offered-brock-boeser-five-years-8-million">pending UFA winger Brock Boeser a five-year contract</a> at $8 million annually. A contract offer that Seravalli says, Boeser declined.
The <a href="https://canucksarmy.com/news/vancouver-canucks-trade-deadline-approach-boeser-pettersson-path-forward-canucks-conversation">reaction among Canucks fans</a> to the news was mixed, with some saying that&#8217;s far too much money for Boeser, and others calling it a slap in the face for the longest-tenured Vancouver Canuck.
That&#8217;s why we thought it&#8217;d be interesting to put ourselves in Boeser and his camp&#8217;s shoes and try to size up the summer&#8217;s UFA market to try to determine what Boeser would get on the open market when NHL free agency opens on July 1st.
<blockquote>Sizing up the competition </blockquote>
Like it or not, a big factor in NHL free agency is that there are only so many impact players available. Once these players are signed, teams that missed out on those players typically go down the list and look for &#8220;the next best thing&#8221;. And it&#8217;s when teams get there, that we typically see some pretty significant overpays, as GMs do their best to load up their team for the next season.
So where does Boeser rank in terms of the upcoming free agents? Barring any of these players signing with their current teams &#8212; and we&#8217;d bet at least one of them will, which would move Boeser up the list &#8212; the list of true impact forwards under 30 available in free agency appears to be down to these three names:
Mitch Marner 
Mikko Rantanen 
Nikolaj Ehlers
After that, Boeser is a clear number four. Beyond Boeser, names like Sam Bennett, Ryan Donato, and Jack Roslovic appear.
Assuming that one of Marner, Rantanen, or Ehlers signs with their current team, that would leave two names ahead of Boeser on the list of the most attractive free agents. Only two teams will have their impact forward needs filled, leaving more than a few likely to be in scramble mode and looking to make a splash any way they can.
And of course, all it takes is two teams to create a bidding war for Boeser&#8217;s services. While he&#8217;s only scored 40 goals once in his career, Boeser earned the tag of &#8220;playoff performer&#8221; for his impact during the Canucks&#8217; playoff run last season, and that carries weight with NHL teams. 40 goal scorers get paid, and 40 goal scorers who can do it in the playoffs definitely get paid. Boeser&#8217;s been around a 25-30 goal pace for most of his career, and while his health has always been an issue, he&#8217;s been relatively healthy the past two seasons. There will be plenty of interest.
We also haven&#8217;t even mentioned that <a href="https://canucksarmy.com/news/why-cap-math-marcus-petterssons-vancouver-canucks-extension-even-better">with the NHL salary cap going up</a>, teams are going to have even more cap space to play with, and the thought of fitting Boeser into their salary cap picture will be more realistic for an increased number of teams, thus expanding Boeser&#8217;s list of potential suitors even more.
If Jake Guentzel got 7 years at $9 million in tax-free Tampa Bay just last summer, what might Boeser get on the open market? One has to think with the certainty of the cap going up and the other players available that we mentioned above, that Boeser is looking at a potential offer of at least 7 years at $8 million. Maybe you think that&#8217;s high.
Let&#8217;s say 7 years at $7.5 million. That&#8217;s still $52.5 million in total. Meaning that the Canucks, at the very least, are asking Boeser to leave $12.5 million on the table with their latest contract offer.
At the very least.
There is still <a href="https://canucksarmy.com/news/seravalli-vancouver-canucks-offer-brock-boeser-previously-offered-five-years">reportedly one more offer to come from the Canucks</a>, and it will be interesting to see if they&#8217;re willing to budge on the term, which appears to be the main sticking point at this juncture.
<a href="https://afpanalytics.com/">AFP Analytics</a> projects a seven-year contract at $8.6 million for Boeser. And while we think that&#8217;s potentially on the high end, it does illustrate the main point here &#8212; that Boeser is almost certainly going to sign for more than the $40 million the Canucks offered.
The Canucks have until Friday, March 7th to decide if they&#8217;ll keep Boeser or if they&#8217;ll trade him ahead of the deadline.
What do you think Boeser will sign for? Do you think it should be the Canucks that offer it to him? Let us know in the comments section below!
<a href="https://www.youtube.com/@daily_faceoff"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-139755" src="https://publish.canucksarmy.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2099/08/TradeDeadline-2025_programmatic_Article-727x404-2.png" alt="" width="728" height="405" srcset="https://publish.canucksarmy.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2099/08/TradeDeadline-2025_programmatic_Article-727x404-2.png 728w, https://publish.canucksarmy.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2099/08/TradeDeadline-2025_programmatic_Article-727x404-2-300x167.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 728px) 100vw, 728px" /></a>
Get ready, hockey fans! The <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@daily_faceoff">Daily Faceoff Deadline</a> is happening on March 7th from 11 AM to 4 PM Eastern, and you won’t want to miss it. We’ll be LIVE, breaking down every trade and big move as it happens, with instant reactions and expert analysis from the Daily Faceoff crew. Plus, we&#8217;ve got special guests lined up throughout the show, offering exclusive insights from some of the biggest names in the game. From blockbuster trades to surprise moves, we’re covering it all. Tune in to the <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@daily_faceoff">Daily Faceoff YouTube channel</a> and follow Daily Faceoff socials on March 7th to catch all the action!

On Friday, Daily Faceoff's Frank Seravalli reported that the <a href="https://canucksarmy.com/combinations">Vancouver Canucks</a> offered <a href="https://canucksarmy.com/news/seravalli-vancouver-canucks-offered-brock-boeser-five-years-8-million">pending UFA winger Brock Boeser a five-year contract</a> at $8 million annually. A contract offer that Seravalli says, Boeser declined.

The <a href="https://canucksarmy.com/news/vancouver-canucks-trade-deadline-approach-boeser-pettersson-path-forward-canucks-conversation">reaction among Canucks fans</a> to the news was mixed, with some saying that's far too much money for Boeser, and others calling it a slap in the face for the longest-tenured Vancouver Canuck.

That's why we thought it'd be interesting to put ourselves in Boeser and his camp's shoes and try to size up the summer's UFA market to try to determine what Boeser would get on the open market when NHL free agency opens on July 1st.
<blockquote>Sizing up the competition </blockquote>
Like it or not, a big factor in NHL free agency is that there are only so many impact players available. Once these players are signed, teams that missed out on those players typically go down the list and look for "the next best thing". And it's when teams get there, that we typically see some pretty significant overpays, as GMs do their best to load up their team for the next season.

So where does Boeser rank in terms of the upcoming free agents? Barring any of these players signing with their current teams -- and we'd bet at least one of them will, which would move Boeser up the list -- the list of true impact forwards under 30 available in free agency appears to be down to these three names:

Mitch Marner
Mikko Rantanen
Nikolaj Ehlers

After that, Boeser is a clear number four. Beyond Boeser, names like Sam Bennett, Ryan Donato, and Jack Roslovic appear.

Assuming that one of Marner, Rantanen, or Ehlers signs with their current team, that would leave two names ahead of Boeser on the list of the most attractive free agents. Only two teams will have their impact forward needs filled, leaving more than a few likely to be in scramble mode and looking to make a splash any way they can.

And of course, all it takes is two teams to create a bidding war for Boeser's services. While he's only scored 40 goals once in his career, Boeser earned the tag of "playoff performer" for his impact during the Canucks' playoff run last season, and that carries weight with NHL teams. 40 goal scorers get paid, and 40 goal scorers who can do it in the playoffs definitely get paid. Boeser's been around a 25-30 goal pace for most of his career, and while his health has always been an issue, he's been relatively healthy the past two seasons. There will be plenty of interest.

We also haven't even mentioned that <a href="https://canucksarmy.com/news/why-cap-math-marcus-petterssons-vancouver-canucks-extension-even-better">with the NHL salary cap going up</a>, teams are going to have even more cap space to play with, and the thought of fitting Boeser into their salary cap picture will be more realistic for an increased number of teams, thus expanding Boeser's list of potential suitors even more.

If Jake Guentzel got 7 years at $9 million in tax-free Tampa Bay just last summer, what might Boeser get on the open market? One has to think with the certainty of the cap going up and the other players available that we mentioned above, that Boeser is looking at a potential offer of at least 7 years at $8 million. Maybe you think that's high.

Let's say 7 years at $7.5 million. That's still $52.5 million in total. Meaning that the Canucks, at the very least, are asking Boeser to leave $12.5 million on the table with their latest contract offer.

At the very least.

There is still <a href="https://canucksarmy.com/news/seravalli-vancouver-canucks-offer-brock-boeser-previously-offered-five-years">reportedly one more offer to come from the Canucks</a>, and it will be interesting to see if they're willing to budge on the term, which appears to be the main sticking point at this juncture.

<a href="https://afpanalytics.com/">AFP Analytics</a> projects a seven-year contract at $8.6 million for Boeser. And while we think that's potentially on the high end, it does illustrate the main point here -- that Boeser is almost certainly going to sign for more than the $40 million the Canucks offered.

The Canucks have until Friday, March 7th to decide if they'll keep Boeser or if they'll trade him ahead of the deadline.

What do you think Boeser will sign for? Do you think it should be the Canucks that offer it to him? Let us know in the comments section below!

<a href="https://www.youtube.com/@daily_faceoff"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-139755" src="https://publish.canucksarmy.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2099/08/TradeDeadline-2025_programmatic_Article-727x404-2.png" alt="" width="728" height="405" /></a>

Get ready, hockey fans! The <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@daily_faceoff">Daily Faceoff Deadline</a> is happening on March 7th from 11 AM to 4 PM Eastern, and you won’t want to miss it. We’ll be LIVE, breaking down every trade and big move as it happens, with instant reactions and expert analysis from the Daily Faceoff crew. Plus, we've got special guests lined up throughout the show, offering exclusive insights from some of the biggest names in the game. From blockbuster trades to surprise moves, we’re covering it all. Tune in to the <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@daily_faceoff">Daily Faceoff YouTube channel</a> and follow Daily Faceoff socials on March 7th to catch all the action!

Canucks: What would Brock Boeser get on the open market if he hits NHL Free Agency?

Jonathan Lekkerimäki, Aatu Räty, and Arshdeep Bains during the Vancouver Canucks' 2-0 win over the Edmonton Oilers at the 2024 Young Stars Classic from Penticton, BC.

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